Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.044684 3.404099 3.793091 4.246045 4.759820 5.325435 5.996588
2024-10-20 2.487933 2.959063 3.504950 4.186697 5.018779 6.005682 7.271322
2024-10-27 2.046523 2.546785 3.156280 3.958272 4.992792 6.291718 8.060934
2024-11-03 1.824708 2.357493 3.034311 3.964840 5.222853 6.881418 9.261595
2024-11-10 1.688118 2.253181 2.997638 4.061431 5.560723 7.625608 10.732074
2024-11-17 1.554182 2.133844 2.922154 4.087405 5.791227 8.230870 12.060181
2024-11-24 1.441669 2.030260 2.853945 4.109487 6.008086 8.825675 13.425761
2024-12-01 1.344216 1.937342 2.789372 4.125364 6.209445 9.407137 14.824292
2024-12-08 1.230830 1.810426 2.662467 4.032414 6.229600 9.703221 15.787675
2024-12-15 1.150136 1.725060 2.589175 4.012582 6.357797 10.175228 17.084813
2024-12-22 1.073938 1.640114 2.508762 3.972290 6.445173 10.582546 18.307602
2024-12-29 1.049433 1.633545 2.549438 4.130059 6.873750 11.601787 20.731512
2025-01-05 0.988917 1.566455 2.490318 4.120377 7.021426 12.160035 22.400281
2025-01-12 0.927963 1.494264 2.417394 4.080688 7.112103 12.624812 23.949041
2025-01-19 0.840060 1.371127 2.250379 3.862350 6.858819 12.428957 24.166241
2025-01-26 0.799861 1.325771 2.212063 3.869563 7.021431 13.030942 26.074119
2025-02-02 0.777363 1.309056 2.221626 3.963764 7.355734 13.996713 28.865551
2025-02-09 0.745635 1.273860 2.195725 3.989087 7.557427 14.716859 31.216347
2025-02-16 0.715740 1.239832 2.169276 4.010590 7.752278 15.440644 33.667636
2025-02-23 0.687174 1.206266 2.141149 4.026045 7.935179 16.156069 36.192501
2025-03-02 0.646410 1.147734 2.062684 3.935572 7.889037 16.372630 37.556000
2025-03-09 0.617943 1.110303 2.021416 3.916269 7.990949 16.922528 39.803509
2025-03-16 0.588964 1.070162 1.972346 3.877048 8.045777 17.370869 41.854757